I am aware that this is a very unpopular position to take on the South China Sea / West Philippine Sea Dispute but I believe that we can notwin wars with rash actions. Things must be well thought-of and all eventualities accounted-for before actions are initiated.
Yes. I’ve said the “W” word and I am dead serious about it. We are already at war. We are at war for what is right. We are at war with the paradigm that “might is right.” We are at war with China and what it represents.
Thus, we must think and behave like we are at war. We can not afford to make blunders that will in the long run cost us our freedom and sovereignty — our country.
“The art of war is of vital importance to the State. It is a matter of life and death, a road either to safety or to ruin. Hence it is a subject of inquiry which can on no account be neglected.”
― Sun Tzu,
I am by no means recommending inaction or defeat. Far from it. On the contrary, I am urging the reader to think in terms of guaranteed victory.
The dispute with China is one we can not afford to lose.
PH South China Sea Naval Patrols Pushed by PH Congressmen
GMA News Online reports that, in light of the Permanent Court of Arbitration’s decision to tackle the Philippines’ case versus China on the South China Sea Dispute, and the recent sortie within 12 nautical miles of one of China’s claimed maritime features in the South China Sea, lawmakers from the Philippine Congress urge the government to conduct “freedom of navigation” patrols in the region.
- Pemanent Court of Arbitration Ruling “Null and Void” China Declares
- FULL TEXT: Permanent Court of Arbitration Ruling on PH Case Vs China
- Former Defense Chief: Philippines Not Ready VS Threats
- Why the Philippine Army Is #6 Worst in the World
Magdalo party-list Rep. Ashley Acedillo says that, “The Philippines own patrol would show that it would not accept China’s claim over the disputed portions of the South China Sea” and that “We might as well do the same thing the US is doing.”
“The Philippines own patrol would show that it would not accept China’s claim over the disputed portions of the South China Sea… We might as well do the same thing the US is doing.”
In a similar note, ACT-CIS party-list Rep. SamuelPagdilao, says that, “conducting naval patrols strengthens the Philippines’ claim over the disputed waters.”
“Conducting naval patrols strengthens the Philippines’ claim over the disputed waters.”
A group of former police and military officials also has made public their sentiments that “The Philippines should start conducting its own naval patrol in the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) to assert its rights over the disputed waters claimed by China in its entirety.”
“The Philippines should start conducting its own naval patrol in the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) to assert its rights over the disputed waters claimed by China in its entirety.”
Why the Proposed PH South China Sea Naval Patrols Is Ill Conceived
In Sun Tzu’s Art of War, war is studied very carefully. It contains universal principles on the conduct and conditions of war. Essentially, it provides the conditions on how wars are won or lost. Despite being more than 2,500 years old, this book is required reading in military schools around the world.
Thus, the Art of War is the best resource to scrutinize the recommendations of the two Philippine Congressmen and former military officials.
Sun Tzu versus Philippine Congressmen on the PH South China Sea Naval Patrols
Sun Tzu: “The art of war is of vital importance to the State. It is a matter of life and death, a road either to safety or to ruin. Hence it is a subject of inquiry which can on no account be neglected.”
Amang Laya: This should be the mission statement when conducting wars whether initiated or inherited.
“If you know the enemy and know yourself, your victory will not stand in doubt; if you know Heaven and know Earth, you may make your victory complete.”
Amang Laya: Let’s analyze the Enemy.
|Global Fire Index Rank||3||40|
|Fit for Service:||618,588,627||41,570,732|
|Reaching Military Age Annually:||19,538,534||2,081,388|
|Active Frontline Personnel:||2,333,000||220,000|
|Active Reserve Personnel:||2,300,000||430,000|
|Armored Fighting Vehicles (AFVs):||4,788||778|
|Self-Propelled Guns (SPGs):||1,710||0|
|Multiple-Launch Rocket Systems (MLRSs):||1,770||0|
|Fixed-Wing Attack Aircraft:||1,311||8|
|Total Naval Strength:||673||120|
|Coastal Defense Craft:||11||38|
|Merchant Marine Strength:||2,030||446|
|Major Ports and Terminals:||15||6|
|Reserves of Foreign Exchange and Gold:||$3,821,000,000,000||$85,040,000,000|
|Purchasing Power Parity:||$13,390,000,000,000||$454,300,000,000|
“If ignorant both of your enemy and yourself, you are certain to be in peril.”
Question: Should the Philippines agitate China militarily?
“Move not unless you see an advantage; use not your troops unless there is something to be gained; fight not unless the position is critical.”
Amang Laya: Given the overwhelming firepower difference between China and the Philippines, what is the advantage in using our troops to patrol the South China Sea — just like the US? Do we have the firepower of the US? Can we stand on our own in a gun battle?
“Thus we may know that there are five essentials for victory:
1 He will win who knows when to fight and when not to fight.
2 He will win who knows how to handle both superior and inferior forces.
3 He will win whose army is animated by the same spirit throughout all its ranks.
4 He will win who, prepared himself, waits to take the enemy unprepared.
5 He will win who has military capacity and is not interfered with by the sovereign.”
Amang Laya: 1. Is it wise to egg China to fight right now? 2. Are we the superior force or the inferior one? 3. Is the Philippine Government in unity? How about the military? 4. Are we prepared? Is China prepared? 5. Do we have the military capacity to go head on with China?
At the end of the day, we must “Ponder and deliberate before [we] make a move.” We must always remember that “There are roads which must not be followed, armies which must not be attacked, towns which must not be besieged, positions which must not be contested, commands of the sovereign which must not be obeyed.”
“There are roads which must not be followed, armies which must not be attacked, towns which must not be besieged, positions which must not be contested, commands of the sovereign which must not be obeyed.”
While we are weak, we rely on our allies who have the capacity to play cat and mouse with China. In the mean time, we address where we are deficient and bolster further where we are strong. We must learn to chose our battles.
We must remember that this is not a video game where we can just press reset and everything turns back to normal. This is life and death.
Before I end this article, I leave this final question:
“PH South China Sea Naval Patrols: Is It Wise?”